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Are 29% of Bitcoin's Circulating Supply Lost Forever?

Bitcoin
Martin Freiberger, July 18, 2023

Are 29% of Bitcoin's Circulating Supply Lost Forever?


The Vanishing Bitcoin: Uncovering the Lost Supply

Fresh data unveiled by blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock reveals a startling revelation – around 29% of Bitcoin's total circulating supply has been dormant for over five years. In other words, these bitcoins appear to be lost forever, with no signs of movement in the blockchain. This presents a thought-provoking question about the inherent nature of Bitcoin and its possible implications for the future of the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin's scarcity is well-known – only 21 million coins can ever be mined. While this characteristic makes Bitcoin an attractive investment asset, it also poses a significant risk of irreversible loss if the private keys to these dormant addresses are lost or forgotten. IntoTheBlock's data brings attention to the substantial surge in stagnant Bitcoin addresses, indicating that a significant portion of these addresses may indeed hold lost coins.

"Our data shows that 29% of $BTC hasn’t moved in over five years. It's possible that a large part of this concerns lost coins," IntoTheBlock highlighted in a recent tweet.

"📈 #Bitcoin $BTC Amount of HODLed or Lost Coins just reached a 5-year high of 7,781,224.168 BTC."

- glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts)

On-chain metrics monitor Glassnode Alerts adds weight to these findings, indicating that the total quantity of HODLed or lost Bitcoins has reached an all-time high of 7,781,224.168 BTC. With the current price of a single Bitcoin hovering around $30,000, this represents more than $235 billion potentially lost forever in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin's Future Under the Shadow of Lost Assets

Over the past year, Bitcoin has gained significant attention from institutional investors, such as MicroStrategy, who have been actively expanding their Bitcoin portfolios. The increase in stagnant addresses may indicate a growing trend of individuals and entities treating Bitcoin as a long-term investment, rather than a currency for immediate trading or spending. However, it also suggests that a substantial volume of Bitcoin may have been permanently lost, especially among early adopters.

Considering the enormous price increase of Bitcoin over the years, it is likely that early investors would have cashed in their holdings if they still had access to these inactive Bitcoin addresses. The surge in dormant coins may be a testament to the loss of private keys and forgotten passwords by those who were there during Bitcoin's formative years.

One notable example is Stefan Thomas, a San Francisco-based programmer who is unable to access his Bitcoin holdings, which amount to a staggering 7,002 Bitcoins. His inability to recall the password to his digital wallet has left his cryptocurrency fortune locked away forever.

The Scarcity Effect: Fueling Bitcoin's Attractiveness and Potential Price Surge

As Bitcoin continues its journey towards mainstream acceptance, the increasing scarcity caused by lost coins could further enhance its attractiveness as a store of value. With a limited supply and growing demand, Bitcoin's price may experience a surge in the future. The potential for a price increase adds a fascinating dimension to the evolving narrative of Bitcoin's role in the global financial landscape.

As the cryptocurrency market evolves, the discovery of lost Bitcoins highlights the need for individuals to properly secure their private keys and passwords. The story of lost coins serves as a reminder to every crypto enthusiast to exercise caution and be mindful of the responsibility that comes with owning and protecting their digital assets.

Martin Freiberger, July 18, 2023
Source: Crypto news

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