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Unveiling the Potential Pitfalls Affecting Bitcoin’s July Performance

Martin Freiberger, July 01, 2024

As we brace ourselves for July, the fate of Bitcoin (BTC) hangs in the balance. The cryptocurrency juggernaut is struggling to maintain its stronghold above $60,000, sending signals that a bullish July may just be a pipe dream.

The Mt. Gox $9B Bitcoin Wave

In the realm of cryptocurrency, few events resonate as significantly as the Mt. Gox repayments. With $9 billion worth of Bitcoin set to be repaid starting July 2024, following a catastrophic collapse in 2014 that wiped out 850,000 BTC, the market braces for impact.

  • Impending selling pressure looms large as creditors eye profitable exits.
  • Analysts predict a price plunge as the market anticipates the influx of sold assets.
  • Previous sell-offs by Gemini creditors fuel the bearish narrative.

Reading the On-Chain Tea Leaves

On-chain analytics unveil a tale of profit-taking and market fatigue, hinting at choppy waters ahead for Bitcoin holders.

  • The aSOPR index signals profit-taking, historically preceding market tops.
  • NUPL trends suggest investor exhaustion and potential market corrections.

Decoding the Price Patterns

Technical analysis paints a cautionary tale as Bitcoin's price trajectory enters murky territory marked by bull pennant breakdowns and critical support levels.

  • Price targets hover around $56,000 in a worst-case scenario.
  • A bullish reversal hinges on breaching the $61,925 threshold, unlocking further upward potential.
BTC/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Martin Freiberger, July 01, 2024
Source: Cointelegraph

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